Vote breakdown will shape Nigeria poll outcome
Nigeria's elections favour incumbents, but next month's poll is expected to be the most competitive since 1999
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In this article
- Fragmentation
- Governors
- Opposition
- Jonathan profile
- Core support: south-east
- Buhari profile
- Core support
- Swing constituencies
- Business community
- Middle class
- The poor
- Civil servants
- Scenario: outright Jonathan win
- Scenario: outright Buhari win
- Scenario: runoff
- Scenario: aborted election
- Post-election
- Jonathan win
- Buhari win
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_350.jpg "Goodluck Jonathan during the election campaign in Lagos (Reuters/Akintunde Akinleye)")