Global economic modelling requires rethink
Recent economic forecasting failures are prompting methodological changes
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In this article
- Slow-moving relationships
- Hindsight as the best predictor
- Banks' leverage and capital ratios
- Banks' funding models
- Banks' asset quality
- Debt and current account deficit
- Quality of statistics
- Housing markets
- Household wealth
- Older variables
- Recession predictors
What is this?
This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.
_350.jpg "A man with his child makes a transaction at a Eurobank ATM (Reuters/Yannis Behrakis)")