UK trade and investment will be vulnerable to Brexit

However the trade and immigration trade-off is resolved, gravity modelling shows trade and investment will be hit hard

You must be signed in to read this analysis

Sign in Sign up to our newsletter

In this article

  • Debt-fuelled consumption
  • Other GDP drivers are already weak
  • Trade is vulnerable
  • Supply-side constraints
  • Labour market
  • Productivity
  • Medium-term prospects
  • Gravity modelling trade
  • Services trade most at risk

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.