German-Turkish rift will widen, despite high cost

Suppressed bilateral tensions have come out into the open and are unlikely to be eased while Erdogan rules

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In this article

  • Relations plummet after 2015
  • Berlin's patience is tested ...
  • ... and snaps
  • Climbdown looks difficult
  • Frozen stagnation looms
  • Economic disengagement
  • Turkish estrangement
  • German sanctions?

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.