South Korea may develop nuclear weapons

There is a small but real risk that Seoul will respond to the North Korean threat by building nuclear weapons of its own

You must be signed in to read this analysis

Sign in Sign up to our newsletter

In this article

  • Capability
  • Risk drivers
  • Fear of abandonment
  • Independence
  • Pyongyang's new capabilities
  • Normalisation
  • Fear of 'Korea passing'
  • Consequences
  • International sanctions
  • US opposition
  • Chinese sanctions
  • Northern aggression
  • Proliferation cascade
  • Intangible costs
  • US alternative
  • Key uncertainties

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.