Prices may rise if lending picks up in major economies

Commentators cite the quantity theory of money to support forecasts of inflation, but short-run linkages are weak

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In this article

  • Long-run data support the theory
  • Short-run dynamics work against it
  • Central banks create smallest monetary aggregate
  • Interest rate governance
  • Less impact from slower money growth
  • Shorter periods, weaker links
  • Outlook

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