Lower rates will return, amplify and raise challenges

New data over six centuries suggest the trend for lower rates will resume along with the associated policy challenges

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In this article

  • New data improve analysis of shocks
  • Two findings for current policy debates
  • Macroeconomic and financial implications
  • Analysing events comparable to COVID-19
  • Downward rates trend: policy implications
  • US context
  • Risks to the outlook
  • Pre-2020 ultra-low monetary policy challenges will return

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.