South Africa faces uncertain post-election future

The 2024 polls look likely to be the most consequential elections since the advent of democracy in 1994

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In this article

  • MK factor
  • Populist push
  • Election scenarios
  • ANC majority
  • ANC plus small parties
  • ANC plus major rival
  • Government of national unity
  • Outlook

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.