Trade and tight fiscal policy raise euro-area risks

Projections for the euro-area widely see stronger GDP growth next year but trade and budget policy pose sizeable risks

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In this article

  • Trade risks
  • Economic impact
  • Risk of diversion to EU
  • Retaliation
  • Wage and inflation risks
  • Fiscal policy fumbles
  • EU RRF overoptimism

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.