Black Sea deal unlikely without Russian concessions

The outlines of a US-brokered agreement for a ceasefire in the Black Sea were agreed last month

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In this article

  • Russia's gains from ending the grain deal
  • The US-brokered ceasefire proposal
  • Political conditions
  • Military considerations for Russia
  • Economic stakes for Ukraine
  • Balancing diplomacy and deterrence

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.