Latest must-read analysis
Grassroots Sudanese initiatives will face new pressure
A focus on military conflict in Khartoum obscures the role of local civilian organisations, especially in the provinces
Iran’s water policy stasis could lead to instability
Water availability in Iran has fallen consistently since the 1970s, resulting in ecological problems and insecurity
Weak rare earth prices at odds with market prospects
Neodymium and praseodymium prices around 50% year-on-year lower fail to reflect the bright prospects for rare earths
Prospects for Brazil to end-2023
Policy-making will prove complicated in the second half despite some positive developments
BrazilChina's appetite for Taiwan war is lower than it seems
Beijing seeks the ability to seize Taiwan by force, but may not intend ever to use it
Security / DefenceEmerging solutions may decarbonise long-haul transport
Long-range transport is a difficult sector to decarbonise, but more ways are emerging to cut or eliminate its emissions
ManufacturingPrigozhin’s failed mutiny will weaken Putin
Wagner Group owner’s dramatic seizure of Rostov-on-Don and his troops’ ‘March for Justice’ have ended
Security / DefenceMoroccan-Israeli ties will substantively advance
Successive visits by Israeli officials to Rabat underline the joint interest in accelerating rapprochement
MoroccoProspects for South Africa to end-2023
The interplay between political and economic crises poses problems for President Cyril Ramaphosa's administration
South Africa