Prospects 2014 Q4
- 2014 Q3
- 2014 Q4
- 2015 Annual
Global economy
A sustained global rebound is unlikely and 2014 should remain a year of diverging trends
United States
Elections will determine the extent of policy gridlock, while the economy will continue to grow
Europe
Mounting political risks and geostrategic strain will derail Europe's recovery this year, blunting impact of ECB action
Middle East
The rivalry among Gulf states will set the political tone across the Middle East in coming months
Africa
Africa's period of high commodity-driven growth is beginning to wane
East Asia
The coming quarter will see a flurry of diplomatic activity in a region of rising tensions amid falling growth rates
Turkey
The government will probably muddle through until the June 2015 elections
Cyber space
Global divisions over internet governance mask growing co-operation on cyber security
South-east Asia
ASEAN producers will have to wait for global demand to deliver export opportunities
Latin America
Lower commodities prices and falling domestic demand will keep regional growth down in the next quarter and into 2015
Russia/CIS
As the Ukraine crisis dampens the regional outlook, Russia's economy will deteriorate further due to sanctions