Daily Analysis
Wednesday, December 11, 2024
Russia will prioritise military spending
Russia’s budget reveals that the Kremlin is preparing for a long war in Ukraine
Sea dispute will be growing challenge for Philippines
The South China Sea dispute shows no signs of abating
IMF nod paves the way for Ethiopia debt restructuring
After long delays, Ethiopia is finally making progress on IMF reforms, which should unlock debt restructuring talks
Cyprus will seek US defence commitments
Although its NATO membership bid faces obstacles, Nicosia continues expanding defence ties with the United States
CyprusCuba’s economic outlook for 2025 is bleak
With Cuba’s economy in a downward spiral, pressure from the United States looks set to increase
CubaQatar’s hydrogen output will increase and be greened
Qatar is boosting its liquefied natural gas and oil production capacities while greening its fossil fuel output
QatarUS government efficiency drive may cut but not improve
Elon Musk can advise on using AI for greater efficiency but may settle for cutting jobs without improving processes
United StatesKilling highlights resentment at US healthcare system
Luigi Mangione, accused of murdering UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson last week, appeared in court yesterday
United StatesSyria’s new rulers want to signal a managed transition
Syria’s prospects are fraught with challenges, but the rebels are trying to project an image of orderly change
SyriaMilei’s triumphalism may be premature in Argentina
President Javier Milei addressed the nation on the first anniversary of his inauguration yesterday
ArgentinaOpposition move raises Indian political temperature
The opposition yesterday submitted a no-confidence motion against the vice president
IndiaDebts raise risk of sudden and severe market selloffs
The BIS quarterly review praises the recent resilience of the economic and financial system but raises notable risks
InternationalMove to end DEA role will undermine Paraguay's image
Paraguay’s anti-drugs agency has reportedly ended collaboration with its US counterpart
ParaguayUS Mexican ambassador pick underlines Trump priorities
The president-elect’s pick for ambassador to Mexico comes from a security and intelligence background
MexicoPersistent inflation may bring new rate rise in Brazil
Inflation reached an annualised 4.87% last month, above the Central Bank's target band
BrazilForeign policy tensions will rise among Gulf states
Gulf Cooperation Council states have reacted differently to Bashar al-Assad’s overthrow in Syria
Gulf statesSwift return of Turkey's Syrian refugees is unlikely
Ankara opened a border crossing with Syria to facilitate the return of Syrian refugees after Bashar al-Assad’s fall
TurkeyLungu’s exclusion may hurt Zambian democracy
Former President Edgar Lungu has been legally barred from contesting the 2026 elections
ZambiaEarly French withdrawal may strain relations with Chad
France has withdrawn several aircraft from N'Djamena following Chad's decision to end a military cooperation agreement
ChadRussian government will rein in subsidy spending
The government plans to cap subsidies on business loan interest rates
RussiaUS FTC will focus on free speech antitrust
Donald Trump has appointed Andrew Ferguson as the new chair of the Federal Trade Commission
United States