Daily Analysis
Friday, December 20, 2024
South Korea will see prolonged political uncertainty
Lawmakers have passed a motion to impeach the president, following his short-lived declaration of martial law
Peru's Boluarte will weaken further as time passes
Further recent scandals have undermined an already weak President Dina Boluarte
Algeria will keep defence spending high
Higher revenues since 2022 have enabled Algiers to bring military spending to a level that matches threat perceptions
Kazakhstan will prioritise nuclear energy adoption
A referendum in October confirmed that Kazakhstan would build its first nuclear power plant
KazakhstanNigeria’s opposition will struggle with divisions
The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) has had difficulty adjusting to its role as an opposition party
NigeriaApple will face continuing challenges in China
US tech giant Apple is struggling to maintain dominance in its largest market outside the United States
InternationalBiden’s judicial appointments are a significant legacy
Senate Majority Leadership Chuck Schumer managed to get President Biden’s final judicial nominees confirmed this week
United StatesJohnson and Trump both lose in US shutdown battle
A bipartisan congressional deal to fund the government into the spring has fallen apart after criticism from Elon Musk
United StatesKenya cabinet reshuffle aims to bolster weakened Ruto
The president has brought allies of his former political enemies into the cabinet
KenyaKey rate freeze unlikely to tame inflation
The Russian Central Bank announced it is keeping its key interest rate at 21% in a surprise to most analysts
RussiaPakistan and United States will struggle to reset ties
Following US sanctions against it, a US official said Pakistan’s ballistic missile programme was an “emerging threat”
PakistanPoverty fall will be difficult to sustain in Argentina
New estimates show that poverty fell sharply in the third quarter, back to levels similar to the year-earlier period
ArgentinaPanama mine poses ongoing difficulties for Mulino
The government faces tough decisions on the future of an environmentally damaging but highly lucrative mine
PanamaThe tax take will increase slowly in the Gulf states
The IMF considers that the economic outlook of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is favourable
Gulf statesOman will prioritise AML/CFT compliance
The Financial Action Task Force has placed Oman on the “enhanced follow up” list
OmanEU-US energy and tariff compromise could be difficult
Donald Trump has suggested that the EU could reduce the risk of higher US tariffs through more energy imports
United StatesHungarian-Polish ties set to deteriorate further
Budapest has granted asylum to a former Polish deputy justice minister who is facing corruption charges
HungaryRussian cyberattacks on Ukraine will intensify
Russia has been accused of launching a large-scale cyber-attack on Ukraine’s state registries
Ukraine
