Daily Analysis
Wednesday, March 26, 2025
Climate issues pose Latin America food security risks
Climate changes and extreme weather events deepen challenges to the region's food security according to a new report
UK-US trade agreement would be limited in scope
With Trump back in office and threatening tariff hikes, UK-US talks on a trade deal have resumed
Chinese dominance will influence global dysprosium use
Demand is rising from many uses for heavy rare earth dysprosium; Chinese refiners control 99.9% of global supply
Oil output will be key for Nigeria's budget goals
President Bola Tinubu has signed the 2025 budget into law
NigeriaTajikistan border deal will usher in a fragile peace
Tajikistan and Kyrgyzstan signed an agreement to end a long-running border dispute
TajikistanJapan’s ruling party will struggle in key elections
A public backlash over gift vouchers distributed by the premier has dented his cabinet’s support ahead of key polls
JapanYemen's Huthis will likely face sustained US pressure
The United States has resumed attacks against the Huthis in Yemen, albeit at a seemingly more intense scale
YemenMistrust will threaten Russia-Ukraine ceasefire deal
Partial ceasefire agreements were reached between Russia and Ukraine following US-led talks in Saudi Arabia
RussiaNew US intelligence risk assessment shifts emphasis
The Director of National Intelligence yesterday released the intelligence community's Annual Threat Assessment (ATA)
United StatesKhartoum shifts point to Sudan partition risk
The Sudanese Armed Forces continue to extend their control over the capital
SudanPeru election confirmation will not ease instability
President Dina Boluarte has announced a general election for April 2026, in a bid to rule out early elections
PeruTougher challenges lie ahead for Thai premier
The prime minister survived a parliamentary no-confidence vote today
ThailandChina will remain US military focus
The US intelligence community’s latest yearly report identifies China as the country’s chief military and cyber threat
ChinaUS-Venezuela extraditions may serve political ends
The Department of Justice has announced plans to extradite three Venezuelans to face criminal charges in Chile
United StatesNicaragua army position will bolster Murillo’s power
The handing of more powers to the co-president further feeds speculation of a political dynasty in the making
NicaraguaPalestinian Hamas may struggle with protests
For the first time since the war started in Gaza, Hamas finds itself facing a public backlash
PalestiniansUS engagement in Syria will slowly pick up
Despite persistent lobbying efforts, sanction relief appears to be still slow to come
SyriaNew Nigerian special forces increase risk of abuses
The government has announced the creation of new special forces units to improve counter-insurgency capacities
NigeriaBahrain’s budget deficits will increase public debt
Bahrain will run unsustainable budget deficits in 2025 and 2026
BahrainHungary’s economic malaise may continue
Former Finance Minister Mihaly Varga took over as central bank governor in March
HungaryRussian emigrants may not return without change
Many of the Russians who emigrated after the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine will not return without political change
Russia
