INT
Central US treasury clearing marks substantial change
Big banks, broker dealers and hedge funds will have to settle their treasury and repo trades centrally from 2026
United StatesUS-China economic ties will gradually weaken
A flagship US survey of the China business climate flags some optimism but also a trend of US firms moving from China
InternationalEasing euro-area CPI points to rate cuts later in 2024
Inflation was little changed at 2.8% last month but core inflation dropped to 3.3%; high food prices remain a concern
InternationalTurning AI lead into gains will test policymakers
All major countries are racing to deploy artificial intelligence, but their national strengths vary markedly
InternationalWorld economic downturn will be shallow but prolonged
The IMF sees global growth unchanged at 3.1% due to the United States and China experiencing only modest downturns
InternationalSlow US job slowdown supports confidence and rate cuts
US job vacancies, quits and hires rose very modestly in December and consumer confidence rose more markedly
United StatesChina’s domestic activity will slow modestly in 2024
Stronger consumption and infrastructure investment offset weaker property investment and trade to take GDP above 5%
ChinaEuro-area GDP will struggle to top 1% in 2024 and 2025
The euro-area grew by 0.1% year-on-year in October-December and 0.5% year-on-year in 2023, compared to 2.5% US growth
EU
