International
Differing priorities of age groups polarise politics
There are more people over than under 40 in high-income nations; this could exacerbate political polarisation
InternationalInventory overhang will cap uranium price gains
Rising inventories are bolstering supply but modest nuclear power demand from many regions will weigh on the price
InternationalSouth Korean growth will settle below 2% in 2020-21
South Korea’s GDP grew by just 2% in 2019, the weakest since 2009; sub-2% may be its ‘new normal’
South KoreaElection interference can undermine democracies
With the US presidential elections this year, attention on the security of electoral systems is growing
InternationalThe balanced oil market will shake off shocks quickly
Oil market dynamics are balanced as demand growth is modest and supply flexible; the market should adjust fast to shocks
InternationalChina’s economy will gain modestly from the US deal
China’s GDP grew by 6.0% in October-December, taking 2019 growth to 6.1%, with a similar pace likely in early 2020
ChinaThe US-China deal leaves much contention for phase two
The deal should revive bilateral goods and services trade, but the risk of tariff snapback is high
InternationalGlobally, 2020s could be hottest decade on record
Last year was the second-hottest on record, after 2016, with every decade since the 1960s hotter than the last
International
