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Reform UK could impact next election outcome
Support for the right-wing populist Reform UK has doubled over the past year
United Kingdom
Divergent rules raise sanctions compliance risks
Different US, EU and UK beneficial ownership registries and divergence on regulation and enforcement powers raise risks
International
East Europeans will gain influence on Western security
Russia’s aggression in Ukraine has drawn attention to Central-Eastern European security, shifting the focus eastwards
Eastern Europe
Any recovery from the UK recession will be very modest
The economic slowdown accelerated towards the end of 2023 with the economy entering technical recession
United Kingdom
UK AI Summit will promote some global cooperation
The UK AI Summit last month brought together a diverse array of stakeholders, including the United States and China
United Kingdom
Immigration will continue to divide UK ruling party
The parliamentary vote on the UK-Rwanda asylum deal has exposed divisions within the ruling Conservative Party
United Kingdom
UK economy faces a shallow yet prolonged downturn
Persistent inflation, high interest rates and weak consumer spending will undermine UK economic recovery
United Kingdom
