Must read
Prospects for Iran in 2024
Parliamentary elections are set to change little, as the economy also stagnates
Iran will temporise over the broken pensions system
The crisis affecting pension funds is growing progressively deeper
Prospects for Middle East conflict in 2024
The consequences of the Gaza crisis will reverberate through next year
Hijab bill will pass but defiance will continue
The draft Hijab and Chasity Bill is being rushed through parliament with no public debate
Egyptian-Iranian ties are heading for an upgrade
Discussions between Egyptian and Iranian officials have intensified, raising prospects of renewed diplomatic relations
Russia’s ties with Iran will grow stronger
Moscow is seeking to turn what has historically been a transactional relationship into something deeper and enduring
Iran will adopt policies to reduce Afghan refugees
The flow of Afghan refugees is becoming a major political consideration for the government in Tehran
Iranian-US relations will remain fraught
Washington and Tehran reached an understanding that could free prisoners and unfreeze Iranian assets
Iran’s SCO inclusion will bring limited security gains
Iran has gained membership of the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation, which has a defence-security orientation
Iran-Azerbaijan relations will improve
A series of official meetings and de-escalatory statements by both sides have occurred since late June
Iran will likely attack exiled Kurdish groups in Iraq
The presence of Iranian Kurdish parties has strained Tehran's relations with Baghdad and Erbil
Iran’s water policy stasis could lead to instability
Water availability in Iran has fallen consistently since the 1970s, resulting in ecological problems and insecurity
