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Israeli Libya slip will further set back Arab outreach
The Israeli foreign minister’s announcement of a Libya meeting has caused domestic and regional fallout
IsraelLibyan strongman's ties with Russia will remain strong
A Russian military delegation visited Libya in discussions that likely addressed the Wagner Group's presence in the east
LibyaLibyan elites will push against a UN-led process
East- and west-based politicians welcomed the unification of the country's central banks
LibyaHaftar will retain personal control in east Libya
The warlord has several sons with political, military and financial roles, raising succession questions
Egypt will try to strengthen its position in Libya
Saddam Haftar, son of eastern strongman Khalifa Haftar, is consolidating his position to Egypt's detriment
Tripoli clashes will reflect status quo’s fragility
Tripoli witnessed clashes between armed groups, while the east-based government conducted strikes in Zawia
LibyaHydrocarbons wealth will entrench Libya divisions
In January, Libya’s National Oil Company and Italian company ENI agreed to develop two offshore gas fields
Legalising Egyptian migration to Libya will stall
Libya’s reconstruction needs are prompting the return of Egyptian labourers
New UN Libya plan will face challenges
The 5+5 Joint Military Committee's meeting takes place soon after a new UN plan was announced for elections this year.
LibyaThe United States will intensify engagement in Libya
The United States aims to re-establish a permanent presence in Libya, as the frequency of official visits increases
Libya
