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Prospects for Middle East conflict in 2024
The consequences of the Gaza crisis will reverberate through next year
US peace efforts will face Arab distrust
Washington seeks a ceasefire and offers a pathway to a Palestinian state, but the region’s public is sceptical
Conflict and climate will boost MENA flight to Europe
EU efforts to tackle migration are offset by worsening push factors across the Mediterranean
Gaza war will hit non-oil Middle East economies hard
The Gaza war has cut tourist numbers and pushed up energy costs, negatively affecting fiscal and current accounts
Middle East and North Africa will lead tourist rebound
The Middle East and North Africa's tourism sector outperformed other regions in 2022 and early 2023
Gaza war will hike Israeli and Mideast gas risk
The initial outbreak of conflict caused Israel’s government to shut down a key field, with knock-on impacts
Italy will intensify its outreach to North Africa
Rome is active across the region, expanding ties and building its competitive advantage over other European capitals
Middle East states will look to Europe’s gas market
Eastern Mediterranean gas development has stepped up in hopes of forming a new hub
North Africa's water scarcity may reduce food exports
North Africa is grappling with inadequate water and food provision
Middle East currency weakness will fuel inflation
The currencies of Egypt, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon and Syria have weakened sharply since September; Turkey’s is still exposed
Saudi Arabia will grow its petrochemicals industry
Saudi Arabia’s Aramco and its Chinese counterpart Sinopec have announced cooperation on petrochemical projects
Climate change poses many threats to the Middle East
Areas around the Gulf are especially vulnerable to extreme weather, spiking heat, freshwater shortages and flooding
Turkey’s ties with the Middle East will improve
Turkey's relations with the Gulf, Egypt and Israel are seeing progress after President Erdogan's re-election in May.