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Powers will fight proxy wars in impoverished Syria
With the Gaza conflict raging, Syrians face military pressure from all sides, as economic constraints also tighten
North-west Syria’s top rebel faction will keep control
A former al-Qaida offshoot constitutes a key part of Syria’s frozen conflict
Syrian Kurds might lose their US military protection
Regional impacts of the Gaza conflict and devastating Turkish airstrikes are pressuring the Kurdish-led administration
Syria's ruler will seek to ride out economic protests
The largest anti-government demonstrations since 2011 coincide with new instability in the Kurdish-controlled northeast
Prospects for Middle East conflict in 2024
The consequences of the Gaza crisis will reverberate through next year
Syrian Kurds face a possible loss of autonomy
Northeast Syria’s Kurdish-dominated administration is under pressure from several directions
Lebanon will bargain for more Syrian refugee returns
Rising anti-Syrian sentiment has provoked hate speech and new deportations
Syrian drug traffickers could shift routes to Libya
Existing ties and geographical location underpin Libya’s potential as a transit country for Syrian drug smuggling
Syria’s frozen conflict will resist normalisation
Damascus would like to leverage its renewed Arab status to restore territorial control
Syria will struggle to monetise Gulf relations
As the ‘normalisation’ agenda advances slowly, there is little immediate hope for the struggling economy
Damascus’s post-quake normalisation hopes may falter
The government is seeking to use the recent earthquake to advance international reintegration
Syria’s sovereignty push will depend on Arab ties
Damascus is seeking Arab economic and political backing to normalise its internal and external status
Syria’s Assad will seize post-quake opportunities
Damascus is seeking to maximise its international leverage through aid negotiations
Syria-Turkey rapprochement faces many obstacles
Efforts to improve ties between Turkey and Syria resurfaced in mid-2022, but multiple challenges have halted progress