Today's Analysis
Wednesday, April 16, 2025
US tariffs' impact on Brazil will be multifaceted
US global tariff measures will reorder bilateral trade and alter export-import dynamics more broadly
Malaysia will cope with economic headwinds
Washington’s paused tariffs remain a major worry for Kuala Lumpur
Saudi debt drive is unlikely to decelerate
Saudi Arabia faces an uncertain oil outlook, undercutting financing needed to move with economic diversification plans
Tech production in South-east Asia faces US risk
Economic uncertainty from US tariffs could hinder South-east Asia’s tech ambitions
InternationalEcuador’s Noboa will be emboldened but faces hurdles
The resounding nature of the president’s election win will not convince critics of his government’s legitimacy
EcuadorGreece’s real estate sector will continue growing
The government has introduced tighter regulations on short-term rentals in a bid to address the housing crisis
GreeceLatest USAID cuts will benefit Georgian government
US foreign aid played a crucial role in supporting civil society in Georgia before the Trump administration cut it
GeorgiaFirm GDP is key to China’s view of its global standing
The economy grew by a better-than-expected 5.4% in the first quarter and services and manufacturing picked up in March
ChinaWashington could prepare grounds for Syria withdrawal
According to reports, Washington could begin a drawdown from Syria within two months
SyriaBulgaria’s US-sanctioned Peevski set to gain influence
The Alliance for Rights and Freedoms has withdrawn its support from the government, as a no-confidence motion is tabled
BulgariaCapital controls moves raise Argentina dollar fears
The Central Bank has announced measure to ease capital controls that favour foreign rather than domestic investors
ArgentinaSingapore’s leader will go into polls confidently
The city-state announced May 3 as the date for the next general election
SingaporeChina is unlikely to revise its industrial policy
European businesses in China have seized on global trade turmoil to urge Beijing to address long-standing grievances
ChinaHong Kong will push back against US tariffs
The territory’s government-run postal service has halted US-bound shipments over tariffs
Hong KongHumala sentence will pose Peru pre-election questions
Former President Ollanta Humala was sentenced to 15 years in prison on illegal campaign finance charges yesterday
PeruPoll adds to pressure on South Africa’s GNU parties
Support for the ANC and the current GNU has slumped following the recent budget crisis
South AfricaCDU-SPD spat foreshadows German coalition tensions
The Christian Democratic Union and Social Democrats are already disagreeing over policy
GermanyRussia’s media crackdown will continue
Four journalists were sentenced to five and a half years in prison yesterday
RussiaRuble strength will create problems for Russian budget
The Russian ruble is the world’s best-performing currency so far this year, appreciating by 38% against the dollar
Russia
