NAFTA
USMCA has pros and cons for Mexico
The signing of a North American trade agreement is broadly positive for Mexico, but it is not without risk
MexicoProspects for US politics to end-2019
Partisan rancour will deepen at the expense of much major legislation being passed down to December
United StatesUSMCA brings Mexico broad continuity, with some risks
Having been a source of uncertainty throughout the NAFTA talks, Mexico’s new government seems on board with the outcome
MexicoNew NAFTA helps Canada’s Trudeau hurdle some problems
Trudeau has avoided major Canadian economic dislocation, but could lose votes due to some concessions Canada made
CanadaNew Canada-US NAFTA deal is likely despite risks
Ottawa and the Liberals will likely make concessions to save NAFTA, but face political costs
CanadaMexico-US NAFTA deal piles pressure on Canada
With Mexico and Washington having struck a deal, the onus is on Canada to secure its place, and with it, NAFTA's future
MexicoQuick NAFTA deal is unlikely
All parties to NAFTA have an interest in reaching a deal before November, but the chances of them doing so are slim
NAFTA