France
France’s 2025 budget heralds a new era of austerity
Spiralling debt has forced Paris to implement a budget dominated by tax increases and spending cuts
FranceRussian resource export ban will have modest impact
Russia is considering imposing export restrictions as part of any response to increased NATO support to Ukraine
RussiaRussia will weigh up escalatory options
Russia has several options if it responds to any lifting of restrictions on the use of long-range missiles for Ukraine
RussiaFrench election will impact foreign policy
The July 7 legislative election leaves President Macron in a weaker position to shape foreign policy
FranceEU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles remain likely
Divisions have increased among EU states over the prospect of further tariffs on imports of Chinese electric cars
EUBudget will be a major test for new French government
The survival of the new French government will hinge on the far right
FranceFrench far right faces tough election hurdles
July’s legislative elections reinforced the far right’s perennial weakness when it gets to the second round
FranceThe situation in French New Caledonia remains febrile
Proposed electoral reforms have intensified polarisation in New Caledonia, France’s Indo-Pacific oversees territory
FranceFrench political stalemate threatens EU fiscal stress
France faces political and economic stalemate and the possibility of debt turmoil after indecisive snap elections
France
