Tunisia
Tunisian president will expect an assured victory
There have been protests ahead of the October 6 polls but years of repression mean they are unlikely to have much impact
TunisiaTunisia will seek new partners but not drop the old
President Kais Saied's authoritarianism is shaping his outlook for the country's foreign policy
TunisiaTunisia president will run against little opposition
Tunisia will hold presidential elections on October 6
TunisiaTunisia's economic challenges show no sign of abating
The government is still struggling with weak growth and high external debt burdens
TunisiaTunisia’s local elections will help Saied
Despite low turnout, local polls will pave the way for the presidential ballot by establishing new patronage networks
TunisiaTunisia's president will scapegoat more businesspeople
Under economic pressure and with an eye to the 2024 elections, President Kais Saied is targeting the business class
TunisiaTunisia will walk a financial tightrope
Indications suggest the government may have staved off the risk of defaulting on external debt, for now
TunisiaMiddle East and North African debt fears will rise
Fiscal and current account deficits are creating debt concerns for fuel-importing Middle East and North African states
Middle EastTunisian president will leverage migration pressure
An Italian prime ministerial visit to Tunis prioritised migration control
Tunisia