Middle East / Africa
US tariffs and retaliation will hit global growth
The US administration yesterday unveiled substantial tariffs on the large majority of US imports
Main tariff impacts on Gulf states will be indirect
US tariffs on the Gulf Cooperation Council states are set at the minimum imposed of 10%
Budget debacle may fatally undermine South Africa GNU
The failure of the two main parties in government to reach a compromise on the budget threatens to unravel the coalition
South AfricaLibya's NGO crackdown is an anti-migrant message
Following a decision by the government, several international NGOs will cease to operate in western Libya
LibyaSenegal's revised amnesty law may lead to prosecutions
The National Assembly has revised a 2024 amnesty law covering politically motivated violence prior to the 2024 election
SenegalSyria's economic woes are unlikely to subside soon
Political and security dynamics continue to weigh on donor calculus, limiting prospects for major aid and investments
SyriaAfrican states' share in mining sector will grow
The power balance between metals miners and states is shifting in favour of the latter as states seek better deals
AfricaIran-US tensions will rise in short term
Washington invoked more sanctions aimed at Iran’s drone programme and boosted its military presence in the region
IranCongo-M23 talks would be first step on long road
The government and M23 rebels finally appear to be ready to sit down to negotiations
Congo-Kinshasa
