North America
Prospects for the global economy in 2025
Soft but solid trade, cautious monetary easing, gradually slowing services and fading fiscal power underpin the outlook
Donald Trump's first term may hold clues to a second
Aspects of Donald Trump’s first term suggest some continuity of attitude and approach to foreign policy in a second
Bretton Woods institutions may face African backlash
The World Bank and especially the IMF have gained renewed prominence in addressing Africa's macro-economic imbalances
Washington's use of tariffs is likely to continue
Whichever candidate wins next week, Washington will not abandon use of tariffs against China and other countries
United StatesChina will leverage US surveillance for espionage
With growing sophistication, recent Chinese cyber espionage campaigns are now targeting Washington's wiretapping systems
ChinaSerbia’s president will hope for a Trump victory
The Trump family’s business interests in Serbia highlight enduring ties
SerbiaCongress will hasten US hypersonic missile development
Congress will press the Pentagon for greater progress in developing hypersonic weapons while demanding closer oversight
United StatesUS Congress moves closer to stablecoin regulation
The latest draft Senate bill on stablecoin regulation takes Congress closer to implementing wider crypto rules
United StatesAsia’s coal use is likely to peak by 2030
China’s coal use, while rising, is close to peak consumption, although India and ASEAN’s use will increase for longer
International
