Central Asia
Russia-China rivalry in Central Asia unlikely to grow
China’s growing political and economic influence in Central Asia has not yet generated damaging rivalry with Russia
Central AsiaRussia will seek to retain influence in Kazakhstan
Russian President Vladimir Putin is in Kazakhstan for a Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO) summit
KazakhstanBaku will seek greater role in Eurasian gas landscape
The collapse of Russian gas sales to Europe has strengthened Azerbaijan’s position as a gas exporter
AzerbaijanRussian gas sales to Central Asia will rise
Gazprom is seeking to increase gas exports to Central Asia to compensate for the loss of European markets
Central AsiaRussian import payment problems will likely continue
Chinese banks are increasingly halting transactions with Russian counterparts, leading to significant delays in payments
RussiaSanctions evasion across Central Asia will continue
The West is applying rising pressure on Central Asian countries to stem the flow of sanctioned goods into Russia
RussiaUkraine war fuelling economic growth in Central Asia
Structural changes in the Russian economy have generated robust economic growth in Central Asia
Central Asia
