INTERNATIONAL: History can mislead policymakers

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In this article

  • Santayana's fallacy
  • Ideological bias
  • Past is not prologue
  • Reasoning by analogy
  • A powerful, hazardous tool
  • Extraordinary analytical aid
  • Guide to 'difference'
  • Counterfactual analysis
  • 'Issue history'
  • Analytical pitfalls
  • False analogies
  • Counterfactual speculation
  • Parochialism

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.