INTERNATIONAL: Why expert predictions are often wrong

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In this article

  • Why experts fail
  • Psychological factors
  • 'Availability'
  • 'Attribution'
  • 'Anchoring'
  • Prestige
  • Analytical frameworks
  • Analyst training
  • Indispensability of expertise
  • Quantitative models questioned
  • Goldman edge?
  • Improving expert judgment
  • More 'foxes'
  • Technological assistance
  • Expert networks

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.