Russian direct Afghan intervention is unlikely for now

Moscow has the capacity, but not (yet) the will, to intervene militarily in Afghanistan

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In this article

  • CSTO concern
  • Tajikistan
  • Military base
  • Russian reinforcements
  • Kyrgyzstan
  • CSTO drills
  • Afghanistan
  • Rapid deployment scenario
  • 'Great Game' 2.0
  • Indispensable partner
  • Containment is preferred option

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.