Russia risks mission creep as Syrian rebels dig in

Moscow's air power has helped ensure Assad regime survival -- but a decisive victory against the rebels is unlikely

You must be signed in to read this analysis

Sign in Sign up to our newsletter

In this article

  • Russia's operational aims
  • Secure regime presence around Aleppo
  • Threaten rebel stronghold in Idlib
  • Secure Lattakia
  • Operational limits to Russian escalation
  • Reliance on foreign ground troops
  • Escalated Gulf states' support for rebels
  • Increased rebel radicalisation
  • Rebel cohesion increases
  • Resilient rebel connections
  • Kurdish factor
  • Key risks to rebels
  • Risk of mission creep
  • Outlook

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.