Belarus leader looks to survive and avoid war

Belarus has assisted Russia's invasion of Ukraine but avoided actual combat; it is under pressure to join the war

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In this article

  • Open invitation to war
  • Minsk manoeuvres
  • Calculating the risks
  • Loss of seasoned diplomat
  • Opposition survives
  • Continuing repression
  • Kalinouski Regiment

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.