Belarus will remain a dictatorship after Lukashenka

Lukashenka has built a highly centralised and authoritarian system that is built on strong relations with Moscow

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In this article

  • Exiled opposition is not a threat to the Lukashenka regime
  • Bureaucracy not interested in regime change
  • Secret police and military will stay loyal to the president
  • Who might succeed Lukashenka?

What is this?

This article is from the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, which analyses geopolitical, economic, social, business and industrial developments on a global and regional basis, providing clients with timely, authoritative analysis every business day of the year. Find out more about the Oxford Analytica Daily Brief, or request a trial.