Prospects 2015 Q4

The election is hard to predict and will largely depend on how the Kurdish issue evolves in the months beforehand

The future of global trade will depend on there being sufficient port and other logistics infrastructure

The impact of the Iran nuclear deal, Syria's civil war and low oil prices will reverberate across the region

Prospects for the United States in the fourth quarter

The migrant crisis will dominate the continent's politics

The fourth quarter will be politically turbulent against a backdrop of a slowing regional economy

The Ukraine crisis, increasing support for Syria's regime, low oil prices and the economy will dominate Russian thinking

Global market volatility and low commodity prices are steadily raising the region's risk profile

Although agricultural output and prices are relatively stable, coming months threaten currency- and weather-linked risks

The internal economic and policy environment will be relatively gloomy for the government

Ongoing war in Syria, drones and negotiations on the sale of French Mistral helicopter-carriers will be the main issues

Corruption probes and poor economic prospects are undermining the fourth-quarter outlook

Beijing's assurances that it has the economy under control ring increasingly hollow

Iran's anticipated return to the market, along with tepid emerging market demand growth, shapes the outlook