Prospects 2017 Update

Developments in Egypt will also affect Libya's prospects, while unemployment and corruption will preoccupy the Maghreb

The likelihood is that the political and economic crisis will deteriorate; the president's departure is not unthinkable

Growth prospects are positive though not without risks, including rate rises and terrorism

US foreign policy is set to be uncoordinated and contradictory under the Trump administration

With removal of President Bashar al-Assad no longer a serious option, factions are scrambling for territory

Financial technologies are transforming banking and finance, but at a pace that is allowing most existing firms to adapt

In the wake of populist defeats and a show of unity in response to Brexit, the EU is experiencing a comeback of sorts

Steady growth and presidential elections look set to characterise much of the rest of the year

The interminable political crisis risks tipping the economy back into recession

As economic indicators move back into positive territory, oil prices remain the great vulnerability

OPEC cuts will keep oil around 50 dollars a barrel, but ample non-OPEC stocks limit the upside; gas is outcompeting coal

An uptick in commodity prices could exacerbate regional fiscal slippages as much needed policy adjustments are delayed

Erdogan’s grip will tighten as he eliminates opponents and consolidates his powerbase

A Party Congress, the most important event in Chinese politics, dominates the agenda for the coming months

The dwindling fight against Islamic State will reduce pressure for sectarian unity

Favourable economics and strong global commitment will keep renewable energy firmly on track despite US backtracking

Activity is picking up but medium-term risks remain high

The Kremlin will focus on securing election wins first for regional governors and then the president

As expectations of federal fiscal stimulus fade, US economic fundamentals are coming more clearly into view

A period of political calm and continuity could be complicated by economic challenges

The White House has struggled to push much-anticipated legislative proposals through Congress during its earliest months

Longstanding leaders stepping down, growing instability and democratic backsliding mar the region's outlook