Prospects 2018

North America

The Republican Congress faces its first electoral test of Donald Trump’s presidency

The White House’s domestic focus, transactionalism and uninterest in diplomacy will lead to reactive foreign policy

Climate negotiations next year seek to write technical rules and bring national policies in line with emissions cuts

Favourable policy may underpin 3% growth in 2018, but the economy will settle back into its 2.0-2.5% post-crisis trend

Stronger demand and increased investment bode well for manufacturers, but political risk looms

As the Arctic opens up, Polar powers promote their national interests as well as a shared governance framework