Prospects 2020 Update

The social and economic aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic has intensified multiple cybersecurity risks

Some CEE countries are more strategic and transparent with their plans to reopen from COVID-19 lockdown than others

Regional politics is in turmoil as pre-existing plans unravel in the face of the COVID-19 crisis

The president will struggle to manage COVID-19 economic and social impacts, faced by a hostile new legislature

Production cuts are stabilising crude oil prices, but inventories continue to rise and US shale drilling may return

The continuing effects of COVID-19 and rising political polarisation will shape bleak political and economic prospects

Ambitious monetary and fiscal policy should stabilise the euro-area economy and provide the basis for a faster recovery

The region’s countries are aiming to expedite recovery from the economic fallout of the COVID-19 crisis

COVID-19 will deter some voters in the July 'referendum'; resentment may affect turnout by September

The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated the president's difficulties in several major areas

Amid weak opposition, President Erdogan still dominates the country despite declining support

Persistent concerns about the pandemic and Brexit will make it very difficult for the government to reboot the economy

US GDP will fall sharply in the second quarter; the evolution of COVID-19 will drive the recovery more than the stimulus

The continent faces an unprecedented economic crisis in the wake of COVID-19

This year looks likely to be one of missed opportunities for both Colombia and Venezuela

Peace talks are becoming more possible, but the goverment does not want them too soon and the Taliban are in crisis

China's economy and relations with the West are at their worst in decades as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic

GDP contracted by 5.4% in January-March even before the lockdowns took effect, and later figures suggest worse to come

While the COVID-19 crisis brings openings for reform, stumbling blocks remain

An economic downturn casts a shadow over the region, while the Libya conflict is entering a new phase

COVID-19 has dramatically changed the political and economic outlook for every East Asian society

The rest of this year will be dominated by the coming US election and COVID-19’s fallout

The COVID-19 crisis has exacerbated an already growing list of problems

The outlook is changing at an unmatched speed and scale; the path of the virus, and responses to it, will drive activity