North Korea
Prospects for East Asia to end-2020
COVID-19 has dramatically changed the political and economic outlook for every East Asian society
East AsiaPyongyang provocations signal end of detente
Blowing up an inter-Korean liaison office signals a return to militancy by North Korea
North KoreaKim health rumours highlight underrated risk factor
Rumours that Kim Jong-un has had heart surgery are unconfirmed but plausible
North KoreaNorth Korea is vulnerable to coronavirus outbreak
The coronavirus outbreak in China will have significant impact on both Koreas, given their proximity and economic ties
North KoreaPyongyang party plenum presages provocations
A major Party meeting, featuring a hard-line speech by Kim Jong-un, indicates that tensions will rise on the peninsula
North KoreaProspects for North Korea in 2020
Pyongyang is spurning overtures from US President Donald Trump and escalating its provocations
North KoreaState disinformation operations will multiply
A few states lead foreign and domestic disinformation campaigns, notably Russia and China, but others are following suit
InternationalKim-Trump meeting presages US climbdown
The warm ‘impromptu’ summit between Trump and Kim at the inter-Korean border in June is a turning point
North Korea
