Czech Republic
Monetary tightening will spread through Central Europe
Hungary’s monetary policy will continue to diverge from other regional central banks in the short-to-medium term
EUSecond-term Czech President Zeman would be Babis ally
President Zeman, a populist with a maverick streak, would (initially at least) reinforce not restrain Babis as premier
Czech RepublicModerate Czech Euroscepticism will cause no EU rupture
Andrej Babis’s use of Eurosceptic slogans reflects widespread disillusion with the EU at elite and popular levels
Czech RepublicCzech central bank will tighten policy cautiously
The CNB has embarked on a tightening policy cycle, although future rate rises may not be as frequent as some expect
Czech RepublicCzech president may keep minority government in power
A minority government could stagger on in a caretaker capacity until Zeman's presidential mandate expires in March
Czech RepublicMove towards EU integration may split Central Europe
V4 disunity will become more obvious as the migration issue fades and EU reform takes centre ground
EUBabis will lack choice of Czech coalition partners
Babis and his party face some tougher-than-expected coalition talks in the days and weeks ahead
Czech RepublicCzech workers should insist on getting electric output
Mooted shift of Superb model to Germany may show shift in costs but the real question is where new electric models go
Czech Republic