EU
UK Parliament is unlikely to stop no-deal Brexit
The government is expected to ask Parliament to support a motion for a snap election, but commitments may be required
United KingdomUK election risks and opportunities could shape Brexit
Suspending Parliament is aimed at showing the EU that its members cannot prevent a no-deal Brexit
United KingdomEast-west EU divides will persist under new Commission
The new Commission will balance between checking eastern illiberals and keeping them on the road to deeper integration
Eastern EuropeItalian agreement should provide short-term stability
Italy’s M5S and Democratic Party have agreed to form a government in order to halt far-right leader Matteo Salvini
ItalyEnvironmental policy is shaping the EU’s energy market
Environmental policy, especially regarding low-carbon technology, is crucial for the EU’s single market for energy
EUUS/EU household debt will be less contagious than 2007
Deleveraging and years of ultra-low rates have cut the chance of contagion but sector- and country-specific risks linger
InternationalGerman fiscal expansion is unlikely despite concerns
Germany’s economy is likely to suffer consecutive quarter-on-quarter contraction, plunging it into a technical recession
GermanyNo-deal Brexit will hurt fragile Greek economy
A no-deal Brexit would have an immediate negative impact on Greece’s financial sector and exports of goods and services
Greece
