EU
Southern services CPI is a risk to steady ECB cuts
Inflation slowed to 2.4% in March and core prices to below 3% but services CPI remains a risk, especially in the South
EURefugee influx from Lebanon will overwhelm Cyprus
Syrian refugees in Lebanon are becoming a problem for Cyprus as Israel strikes at Hezbollah
CyprusBaku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia
Tensions between the two countries remain high, with the chance of a comprehensive peace deal receding
ArmeniaFrance’s Ukraine position exposes Western divisions
President Macron’s suggestion of sending troops to the battlefield in Ukraine has been criticised by Western allies
FranceGeopolitics of AI technical standards will heat up
Technical standards for artificial intelligence (AI) will emerge slowly but geopolitical rifts over it will be intense
InternationalEU-US economic divergence will persist if not widen
March euro-area confidence rose, within pessimistic territory, while US confidence stagnated within optimistic territory
EUEU’s key green policy faces uncertain future
A vote to give final approval to the Nature Restoration Law has been postponed following opposition
EUGreek farmers will want sector profitability restored
Greek farmers face rising costs as imports erode their competitiveness, while climate change is an immediate threat
Greece
