EU
Disjointed initiatives to hobble Libya peace progress
International efforts to resolve the Libya crisis have faltered in recent months
LibyaEU ties will outweigh Moscow meddling in east Europe
Russia wields some influence across CEE and among Western Balkan candidates for EU membership
Eastern EuropeEconomy will shape Macron’s euro-area manoeuvres
Macron will need positive economic results to establish credibility with Berlin and keep French voters on his side
FranceEU-UK Brexit talks will need more clarity from London
Negotiations can only succeed if the UK government recognises the trade-offs it will eventually have to make
EUWarsaw may be isolated in EU on ‘posted workers’
If post-election Germany becomes less accommodating, Poland could stand alone in opposing 'posted workers' reform
PolandECB faces multiple challenges in withdrawing stimulus
Euro strength makes unwinding policy more important but the ECB will tread carefully as financial markets are vulnerable
EUCommon EU migration policy will be hard to achieve
Domestic politics will continue to take precedence over coordinated action to deal with the migration crisis
EUSerbian president will let premier front gay issues
With Brnabic at the Belgrade Gay Pride parade, Vucic can let her take the flak from social conservatives
Serbia