EU

International efforts to resolve the Libya crisis have faltered in recent months

Russia wields some influence across CEE and among Western Balkan candidates for EU membership

Macron will need positive economic results to establish credibility with Berlin and keep French voters on his side

Negotiations can only succeed if the UK government recognises the trade-offs it will eventually have to make

If post-election Germany becomes less accommodating, Poland could stand alone in opposing 'posted workers' reform

Euro strength makes unwinding policy more important but the ECB will tread carefully as financial markets are vulnerable

Domestic politics will continue to take precedence over coordinated action to deal with the migration crisis

With Brnabic at the Belgrade Gay Pride parade, Vucic can let her take the flak from social conservatives