EU
Market conditions will outweigh Polish political risk
Polish markets appear unconcerned about rising tensions over judicial reforms
PolandUK customs union proposals carry political risk
Proposals put forward by the UK government will be unacceptable to either London or Brussels
United KingdomAnkara will remain cool on climate change
Ankara will avoid making commitments that would require serious adjustment of its carbon-heavy development policies
TurkeySerb-suggested compromise needs Prishtina’s response
Political impasse in Prishtina holds up establishing normal relations with Belgrade -- a must for each country’s EU bid
SerbiaLack of consensus clouds EU-UK transition prospects
Despite support for some form of transition after Brexit, there is little agreement on what it should look like
EUEU may lack will to upgrade Berlin Process for Balkans
Pressure will increase on EU governments and the Commission for a Berlin Process follow-up as its final year approaches
BalkansEU action makes end to Russia sanctions less likely
EU measures are designed to punish Moscow for diverting Siemens-made equipment to Crimea
RussiaCzech return to normal monetary policy will be slow
First rate rise since 2008 will be followed by more rises to cool economy -- but gradually to stem koruna appreciation
Czech Republic