EU
Euro-area seems set for a long but shallow downturn
Bank lending to corporates in the euro-area fell for the first time since early 2015 while household lending also slowed
InternationalObtaining EU cohesion on Ukraine will become tougher
Challenges to Western support for Ukraine are growing in both the United States and EU
NATOTechnical standards firm up China's AI priorities
China's cybersecurity standards setter has proposed technical rules for generative artificial intelligence (GenAI)
ChinaDutch parties will find it hard to reject Wilders
After years in opposition, far-right leader Geert Wilders is in a strong position to lead the next government
NetherlandsPoland’s expected new government faces range of risks
The pro-EU opposition’s election win has cheered markets but policy risks will moderate their expectations eventually
PolandSlovak-Hungarian entente will not affect Western unity
After the likely departure of the PiS-led government in Poland, Fico-led Slovakia is now Hungary’s closest EU ally
SlovakiaPresumed next premier will defend Poland’s interests
Donald Tusk has consistently opposed changing EU treaties to ease decision-making as over-centralising “Euro-enthusiasm”
PolandProspects for the EU in 2024
Foreign policy, immigration, AI and elections will be dominant themes in EU politics over the next year
EU
