Macedonia

Inciting Macedonian protest against Zaev coalition could further exacerbate relations with Albanian minority

Leading party may have trouble renewing its coalition with former Albanian partners

Gruevski is playing with fire in accusing foreigners of meddling after close elections

Highly charged political atmosphere leads to closely contested election

Gruevski can probably afford concessions for early elections he is likely to win

Social democracy faces much the same problems of policy credibility in the Western Balkans as in Western Europe

Government and opposition have reverted to last year's ultimatums and street confrontations

If politicians ignore popular anger over corruption, politics will be further discredited and the country destabilised