Europe
EU and UK rules on financial trading will diverge
As risks rise, EU and UK legislation on derivatives trading and alternative investment funds is also expanding
InternationalBosnian Serbs are unlikely to seek independence yet
A new election law in the Republika Srpska further undermines the state, but its implementation is unlikely this year
Bosnia-HercegovinaArmenia will avoid severing ties with Russia
Relations with Moscow continue to deteriorate, with Yerevan asking for Russian troops to leave several bases
ArmeniaEastern members risk falling behind rest of EU
Central-Eastern Europe’s economic trajectory since joining the EU holds lessons for the region and potential new members
EUMacron faces political risks over French fiscal woes
With France struggling to meet its debt and deficit targets, unpopular spending cuts are inevitable
FranceClimate needs and debt to hit lower-income states hard
Higher US rates for longer risk increasing debt interest costs for developing states and lowering climate spending
InternationalLocal elections compound UK ruling party’s woes
The Conservative Party lost around half of its council seats in last week’s local elections
United KingdomRussian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving
Russian foreign influencer campaigns include a heavy focus on Europe and NATO
International
