Europe
Competition in the AI value chain will be fierce
The AI value chain is highly competitive, as end-users work out what AI models could boost business performance
InternationalEngaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West
The emirate has drawn closer to Iran, China and Russia in recent months
AfghanistanCroatia will likely shift further to the right
Croatia’s main conservative party will attempt to form a government with the far right
CroatiaAI's promise and pitfalls will affect key domains
Artificial intelligence (AI) is set to transform economic, social, political and security domains, but with major risks
InternationalFrench defence policy lacks strategic prioritisation
France’s military still suffers from a lack of conflict prioritisation, which is compounded by limited resources
FranceEU will be assertive with new trade defence tools
The EU appears readily willing to deploy the Foreign Subsidy Regulation, its new trade defensive instrument
EUInterest rate uncertainty keeps pressure on US bonds
Financial markets worldwide are facing opposing pressures as a result of interest rate expectations shifting markedly
United StatesParallel imports continue to support Russia’s economy
Parallel imports have played an important role in enabling Russia to mitigate the worst effects of Western sanctions
Russia
