Europe
UK budget will promise higher GDP but pressure firms
Economic conditions are improving before the budget, with inflation falling steadily and growth estimates being lifted
United KingdomSerbia’s president will hope for a Trump victory
The Trump family’s business interests in Serbia highlight enduring ties
SerbiaUK-EU reset is unlikely to be ambitious
There has been a notable improvement in engagement between the United Kingdom and the EU under the new Labour government
United KingdomRule of law unlikely to cause EU-Italy confrontation
The threat to media freedom in Italy is approaching high-risk levels, according to the EU’s annual rule-of-law report
ItalyAsia’s coal use is likely to peak by 2030
China’s coal use, while rising, is close to peak consumption, although India and ASEAN’s use will increase for longer
InternationalRomania will struggle to reduce deficits
The government’s revised 2024 budget will push the fiscal deficit to almost 7% of GDP
RomaniaCrime could undermine Denmark’s Schengen support
Incidents of gang violence have increased significantly over the last year, leading to tougher border checks
DenmarkGenAI adoption alone will not markedly lift global GDP
Research confirms that GenAI is being adopted faster than the PC and internet were, and broadly across occupations
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